Welsh Cup — Wales
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 18:15 • Richmond Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.17) 2.34 (league 2.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.5% 10.2% 86.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
25.1%
0 - 1
21.4%
0 - 3
19.6%
Score & goals probability table
Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 9.1% 21.4% 25.1% 19.6% 11.5% 5.4%
1 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack23%23%
Defense95%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 55 | 5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

10.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carmarthen Town Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Carmarthen Town: W • Colwyn Bay: W

League goals

Metric Carmarthen Town Colwyn Bay
HATHAT
GF total505505
GF avg5.00.05.05.00.05.0
GA total101000
GA avg1.00.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%100%0%
4.5100%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—5-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For5050
Goals Against1000

Model comparison

MetricCarmarthen TownColwyn Bay
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Colwyn Bay and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carmarthen Town = 0.05 (league 2.17), Colwyn Bay = 2.34 (league 2.13)

Colwyn Bay
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 9.1% 21.4% 25.1% 19.6% 11.5% 5.4%
1 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.5% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 86.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1