Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.39) 0.76 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 34.3% 28.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 18.8% 14.4% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack60%70%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Envigado Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
Played448336
Wins100%25%63%33%67%50%
Draws0%75%38%33%33%33%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Envigado: WWDWWDWD • Independiente Medellin: DWDWLW

League goals

Metric Envigado Independiente Medellin
HATHAT
GF total7512448
GF avg1.81.31.51.31.31.3
GA total246404
GA avg0.51.00.81.30.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%83%50%
1.550%13%33%17%
2.513%13%17%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
HATHAT
Clean sheets224033
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-10-3
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For2323
Goals Against1320

Model comparison

MetricEnvigadoIndependiente Medellin
Form52%48%
Att46%54%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ 10Bet
Away1.70 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.91 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 10Bet
No1.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 0.91 (league 1.39), Independiente Medellin = 0.76 (league 0.85)

Independiente Medellin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Envigado 0 18.8% 14.4% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1