Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.45) 0.93 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.6% 23.6% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cienciano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalCienciano
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack44%38%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Cienciano
HATHAT
Played171734161733
Wins71%35%53%50%24%36%
Draws12%24%18%25%41%33%
Loses18%41%29%25%35%30%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWLLW • Cienciano: DLLWDDLDWWLDWDWDDLLDLWDWWDLWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Cienciano
HATHAT
GF total352459321951
GF avg2.11.41.72.01.11.5
GA total132336222143
GA avg0.81.41.11.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalCienciano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%62%82%76%
1.553%29%48%39%
2.526%12%15%9%
3.512%3%3%3%
4.56%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalCienciano
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513268
Failed to score358156

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalCienciano
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total84

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalCienciano
Wins42
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-46-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-12-35-2
Goals For5463
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalCienciano
Form40%60%
Att54%46%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%37%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 1.74 (league 1.45), Cienciano = 0.93 (league 0.95)

Cienciano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 7.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 11.2% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1