Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Monumental
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.45) 0.88 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 16.1% 11.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Garcilaso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitario 0 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
Played55
Form100%40%
Attack63%38%
Defense88%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universitario Deportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
Played161733181634
Wins81%65%73%44%38%41%
Draws13%24%18%22%31%26%
Loses6%12%9%33%31%32%

Form: Universitario: DWWWWDWWWLLLWWWWWDWDWWWDDWWWWWWWW • Deportivo Garcilaso: DWWWDWWLWLLLLWLWDLWDWDDWDWDDLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Universitario Deportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
GF total422466262248
GF avg2.61.42.01.41.41.4
GA total101222172340
GA avg0.60.70.70.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%55%71%65%
1.561%12%44%26%
2.533%0%18%18%
3.512%0%9%9%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
HATHAT
Clean sheets87156612
Failed to score3255510

Penalties

MetricUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total67

Streaks

MetricUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
Wins53
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-02-44-0
Goals For6344
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricUniversitarioDeportivo Garcilaso
Form71%29%
Att63%38%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total71.5%28.7%

Advice: Double chance : Universitario or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ Betano
Draw7.66 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universitario = 2.51 (league 1.45), Deportivo Garcilaso = 0.88 (league 0.95)

Deportivo Garcilaso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universitario 0 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.6% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1