Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Campeones del 36
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.45) 0.70 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 16.1% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Atletico 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack46%62%
Defense62%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Atletico Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
Played171734161733
Wins65%24%44%19%18%18%
Draws12%24%18%31%12%21%
Loses24%53%38%50%71%61%

Form: Alianza Atletico: LWLWDLLWWWWWWWLWLWDDDLWLLDWLLWWLLD • Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Alianza Atletico Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
GF total251540171835
GF avg1.50.91.21.11.11.1
GA total112031253964
GA avg0.61.20.91.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%59%67%85%
1.535%24%36%61%
2.515%6%3%33%
3.56%3%0%12%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
HATHAT
Clean sheets10414325
Failed to score58136511

Penalties

MetricAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
Wins72
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-42-00-3
Biggest losses2-42-00-35-1
Goals For4423
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricAlianza AtleticoAlianza Universidad
Form64%36%
Att43%57%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Atletico = 2.38 (league 1.45), Alianza Universidad = 0.70 (league 0.95)

Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Atletico 0 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.0% 7.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 9.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1