Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.45) 1.96 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 16.8% 23.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.2%
3 - 1
6.2%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Figueirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marcílio Dias 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.1% 4.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.4% 2.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarcílio DiasFigueirense
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack92%69%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marcílio Dias Figueirense
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%80%50%67%
Draws0%40%22%20%25%22%
Loses25%20%22%0%25%11%

Form: Marcílio Dias: WLWWDWWDL • Figueirense: WWWWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Marcílio Dias Figueirense
HATHAT
GF total13142714822
GF avg3.32.83.02.82.02.4
GA total4711358
GA avg1.01.41.20.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarcílio DiasFigueirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%100%67%
1.567%44%78%22%
2.556%11%33%0%
3.533%0%22%0%
4.533%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarcílio DiasFigueirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMarcílio DiasFigueirense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarcílio DiasFigueirense
Wins24
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-65-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-02-1
Goals For6654
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricMarcílio DiasFigueirense
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Figueirense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away3.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marcílio Dias = 2.97 (league 1.45), Figueirense = 1.96 (league 1.02)

Figueirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marcílio Dias 0 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
1 2.1% 4.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
3 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.3% 4.6% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6%
5 1.4% 2.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 23.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1