Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 03:00 •
McKellar Park
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.56)
1.53 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.8% | 22.5% | 32.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Melbourne Victory W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Canberra United W | 0 | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 29% | 38% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 15% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 57% | 46% |
Canberra United WLDLWWWWDWDLL
Melbourne Victory WLWWLWLWWLDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 75% | 77% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 31% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Canberra United W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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