Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 03:00 •
Porirua Park
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.56)
0.48 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.2% | 18.3% | 7.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Central Coast Mariners W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wellington Phoenix W | 0 | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 55% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 50% | 54% | 50% | 25% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 14% | 33% | 23% | 17% | 50% | 36% |
Wellington Phoenix WDDWLLWWDLWWWW
Central Coast Mariners WWLLLWWDDWLWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 62% | 71% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 15% | 50% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Central Coast Mariners W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 59.4% | 40.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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