Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 06:00 •
The Home of the Matildas
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.56)
0.81 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 33.7% | 30.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Melbourne City W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Melbourne Victory W | 0 | 17.8% | 14.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 82% |
| Defense | 36% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 57% | 25% | 40% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 14% | 13% | 13% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 29% | 63% | 47% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Melbourne Victory WLWWLWLWWLDLLDLW
Melbourne City WDWWLWWWWLDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 73% | 93% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 50% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 21% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Melbourne Victory W | Melbourne City W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 36.3% | 63.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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