Primera B — Colombia
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 21:05 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.27) 0.94 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 20.3% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Popayan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Cartagena 0 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.3% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal CartagenaPopayan
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack70%80%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Cartagena Popayan
HATHAT
Played191938161632
Wins53%32%42%31%19%25%
Draws32%32%32%13%31%22%
Loses16%37%26%56%50%53%

Form: Real Cartagena: LWWWWDDLWLLWDWDWWWLLDDDWDDLWWWDLWLWLDD • Popayan: DWLLLLLLLLLLLWDLDDWLDLLDLWLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Real Cartagena Popayan
HATHAT
GF total462066171330
GF avg2.41.11.71.10.80.9
GA total192645181735
GA avg1.01.41.21.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal CartagenaPopayan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%61%56%78%
1.550%37%28%28%
2.532%18%6%3%
3.513%3%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal CartagenaPopayan
HATHAT
Clean sheets10515347
Failed to score3696814

Penalties

MetricReal CartagenaPopayan
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricReal CartagenaPopayan
Wins44
Draws32
Losses211

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-22-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricReal CartagenaPopayan
Form28%72%
Att47%53%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%37%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Real Cartagena or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Cartagena = 2.07 (league 1.27), Popayan = 0.94 (league 0.85)

Popayan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Cartagena 0 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.3% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1