Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:30 • Fritz Walter Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.71) 0.99 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 19.2% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Spain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Germany W 0 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGermany WSpain W
Played55
Form87%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.819 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Germany W Spain W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%50%75%100%75%88%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%25%13%

Form: Germany W: DWWWWWWD • Spain W: WLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Germany W Spain W
HATHAT
GF total151429161026
GF avg3.83.53.64.02.53.3
GA total246448
GA avg0.51.00.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGermany WSpain W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%88%75%
1.588%25%75%25%
2.563%0%63%0%
3.563%0%50%0%
4.525%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGermany WSpain W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricGermany WSpain W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGermany WSpain W
Wins61
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-67-11-5
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For6675
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricGermany WSpain W
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Germany W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.74 @ Marathonbet
Away1.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Germany W = 2.22 (league 1.71), Spain W = 0.99 (league 1.27)

Spain W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Germany W 0 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1