Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 17:30 • Metropolitano Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.72) 2.77 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 17.8% 42.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.4%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Germany W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain W 0 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.4% 3.9% 5.5% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
4 0.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpain WGermany W
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack92%100%
Defense85%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spain W Germany W
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins100%60%78%80%50%67%
Draws0%20%11%20%50%33%
Loses0%20%11%0%0%0%

Form: Spain W: WLWWWWWWD • Germany W: DWWWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Spain W Germany W
HATHAT
GF total161026151429
GF avg4.02.02.93.03.53.2
GA total448246
GA avg1.00.80.90.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpain WGermany W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%89%44%
1.567%22%78%22%
2.556%0%56%0%
3.544%0%56%0%
4.522%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpain WGermany W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricSpain WGermany W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpain WGermany W
Wins66
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-11-56-10-6
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For7566
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSpain WGermany W
Form54%46%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Germany W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away6.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spain W = 2.32 (league 1.72), Germany W = 2.77 (league 1.26)

Germany W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spain W 0 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
1 1.4% 3.9% 5.5% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7%
4 0.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
5 0.3% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 42.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1