Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 20:10 • Stade Auguste-Delaune
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.72) 0.63 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 17.7% 9.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sweden W
0 1 2 3 4 5
France W 0 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.1% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrance WSweden W
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack71%50%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric France W Sweden W
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%75%75%50%25%38%
Draws25%0%13%25%50%38%
Loses0%25%13%25%25%25%

Form: France W: WWWWWWLD • Sweden W: WDWDDWLL

League goals

Metric France W Sweden W
HATHAT
GF total1061610313
GF avg2.51.52.02.50.81.6
GA total4155611
GA avg1.00.30.61.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrance WSweden W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%38%63%88%
1.575%25%38%25%
2.525%0%25%13%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrance WSweden W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricFrance WSweden W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFrance WSweden W
Wins61
Draws02
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-11-2
Biggest losses—1-00-14-0
Goals For4262
Goals Against2124

Model comparison

MetricFrance WSweden W
Form67%33%
Att59%41%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Winner : France W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ SBO
Under 2.52.07 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): France W = 2.18 (league 1.72), Sweden W = 0.63 (league 1.26)

Sweden W
0 1 2 3 4 5
France W 0 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.1% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 9.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1