J-League Cup — Japan
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 04:05 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.30) 0.58 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.3% 16.0% 7.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashiwa Reysol 0 5.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack63%63%
Defense68%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Played369336
Wins100%83%89%100%33%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%17%11%0%67%33%

Form: Kashiwa Reysol: WWWWWWWLW • Sanfrecce Hiroshima: LWLWWW

League goals

Metric Kashiwa Reysol Sanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
GF total714218412
GF avg2.32.32.32.71.32.0
GA total268347
GA avg0.71.00.91.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%56%83%83%
1.567%22%83%17%
2.544%11%17%17%
3.522%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
HATHAT
Clean sheets134011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
Wins71
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-10-2
Biggest losses—3-1—3-2
Goals For4442
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricKashiwa ReysolSanfrecce Hiroshima
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h25%75%
Goals20%80%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 1xBet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kashiwa Reysol = 2.29 (league 1.30), Sanfrecce Hiroshima = 0.58 (league 1.58)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kashiwa Reysol 0 5.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 6.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.3% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1