Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 19:00 •
Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Expected Goals
5.20 (league 1.85)
0.69 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.8%
4 - 0
8.4%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Italy U17 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexico U17 W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 80% | 100% |
| Attack | 83% | 78% |
| Defense | 89% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 14 | 3.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
66%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mexico U17 W: WWWLWWW • Italy U17 W: WWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 5 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 4.8 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 100% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 12-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mexico U17 W | Italy U17 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mexico U17 W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mexico U17 W = 5.20 (league 1.85), Italy U17 W = 0.69 (league 1.52)
| Italy U17 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mexico U17 W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 2.6% · Away win 1.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1