League Cup — England
Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 20:00 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.53) 0.99 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.6% 11.3% 7.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.2%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffChelsea
Played42
Form100%100%
Attack50%33%
Defense83%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.36 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.84 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Chelsea
HATHAT
Played224022
Wins100%100%100%—100%100%
Draws0%0%0%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%

Form: Cardiff: WWWW • Chelsea: WW

League goals

Metric Cardiff Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total549066
GF avg2.52.02.30.03.03.0
GA total123044
GA avg0.51.00.80.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%50%
2.525%0%50%50%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCardiffChelsea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCardiffChelsea
Wins42
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—3-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For3204
Goals Against1103

Model comparison

MetricCardiffChelsea
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total57.4%42.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cardiff or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.00 @ Unibet
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away1.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 3.27 (league 1.53), Chelsea = 0.99 (league 1.51)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.6% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.2% 8.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.4% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.6% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1