League Cup — England
Wed, Dec 17 2025 • 20:15 • St James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.53) 0.66 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 20.2% 11.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 9.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleFulham
Played23
Form100%100%
Attack33%28%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Fulham
HATHAT
Played202213
Wins100%—100%100%100%100%
Draws0%—0%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%0%0%

Form: Newcastle: WW • Fulham: WWW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Fulham
HATHAT
GF total606325
GF avg3.00.03.01.52.01.7
GA total101011
GA avg0.50.00.50.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleFulham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%33%
1.5100%0%67%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleFulham
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNewcastleFulham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastleFulham
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For4022
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleFulham
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h60%40%
Goals54%46%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 1xBet
Draw4.16 @ 1xBet
Away4.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.52 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.96 (league 1.53), Fulham = 0.66 (league 1.51)

Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 7.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 9.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 11.6%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1