Cup — Belgium
Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 19:30 • Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.83) 0.05 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 56.6% 2.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
55.0%
1 - 0
30.1%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 55.0% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack5%9%
Defense100%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charleroi KV Mechelen
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Charleroi: W • KV Mechelen: W

League goals

Metric Charleroi KV Mechelen
HATHAT
GF total011202
GF avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0
GA total000101
GA avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharleroiKV Mechelen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0120
Goals Against0010

Model comparison

MetricCharleroiKV Mechelen
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or KV Mechelen and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 188Bet
Draw4.05 @ Betano
Away4.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.26 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charleroi = 0.55 (league 1.83), KV Mechelen = 0.05 (league 1.55)

KV Mechelen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charleroi 0 55.0% 2.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 56.6% · Away win 2.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1