Cup — Belgium
Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 19:30 • Dender Football Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.93) 2.51 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 18.8% 44.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 1.0% 2.6% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack25%13%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 42 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

98%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dender Standard Liege
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Dender: W • Standard Liege: W

League goals

Metric Dender Standard Liege
HATHAT
GF total404022
GF avg4.00.04.00.02.02.0
GA total202011
GA avg2.00.02.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDenderStandard Liege
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDenderStandard Liege
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-2——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For4002
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricDenderStandard Liege
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Standard Liege and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away2.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dender = 2.08 (league 1.93), Standard Liege = 2.51 (league 1.59)

Standard Liege
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dender 0 1.0% 2.6% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.1% 5.3% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.3%
4 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 44.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1