Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.42) 0.36 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 31.2% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 0
21.1%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lanus 0 21.1% 7.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLanusAtletico-MG
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack50%57%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lanus Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played66127714
Wins83%17%50%71%29%50%
Draws17%67%42%29%57%43%
Loses0%17%8%0%14%7%

Form: Lanus: DWDWWDLWWDDW • Atletico-MG: DWDLWDWDWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Lanus Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total1061615823
GF avg1.71.01.32.11.11.6
GA total2685712
GA avg0.31.00.70.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLanusAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%93%64%
1.542%25%43%14%
2.58%0%21%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLanusAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets527235
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLanusAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLanusAtletico-MG
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-00-1
Biggest losses—1-0—3-2
Goals For3242
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricLanusAtletico-MG
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lanus or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betano
Draw3.00 @ Betano
Away2.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.85 @ Betano
Under 2.51.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lanus = 1.19 (league 1.42), Atletico-MG = 0.36 (league 0.92)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lanus 0 21.1% 7.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.3% 9.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 5.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 11.1%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1