Tue, Dec 16 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark Goed Genoeg
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.83) 1.69 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 20.5% 29.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Amsterdam 0 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack8%13%
Defense96%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 23 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Amsterdam NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: AFC Amsterdam: W • NEC Nijmegen: W

League goals

Metric AFC Amsterdam NEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
GF total022033
GF avg0.02.02.00.03.03.0
GA total011022
GA avg0.01.01.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—2-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For0203
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricAFC AmsterdamNEC Nijmegen
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AFC Amsterdam or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.20 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.15 @ Superbet
Away1.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Amsterdam = 2.19 (league 1.83), NEC Nijmegen = 1.69 (league 1.77)

NEC Nijmegen
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Amsterdam 0 2.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.9% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.1% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1