Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Mansiche
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.61) 1.36 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 24.5% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
UCV Moquegua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesar Vallejo 0 5.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.4% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack38%54%
Defense62%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cesar Vallejo UCV Moquegua
HATHAT
Played121426151328
Wins50%29%38%67%23%46%
Draws33%14%23%13%54%32%
Loses17%57%38%20%23%21%

Form: Cesar Vallejo: LLLWLWLWLDWWDDLWLLWWDWDLWD • UCV Moquegua: DLWLWWWWDWDWLDDWLWDDLWDWWDWL

League goals

Metric Cesar Vallejo UCV Moquegua
HATHAT
GF total21829261541
GF avg1.80.61.11.71.21.5
GA total121426121830
GA avg1.01.01.00.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%62%86%71%
1.538%27%39%29%
2.512%12%11%4%
3.58%0%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410628
Failed to score3912314

Penalties

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Wins24
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-26-21-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-24-1
Goals For4262
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricCesar VallejoUCV Moquegua
Form44%56%
Att42%58%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UCV Moquegua

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Superbet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.76 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cesar Vallejo = 1.56 (league 1.61), UCV Moquegua = 1.36 (league 0.88)

UCV Moquegua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cesar Vallejo 0 5.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.4% 11.4% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 32.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1