Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 15:00 •
Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.21)
0.50 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 52.3% | 31.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
45.5%
0 - 1
22.6%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Alpendorada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 45.5% | 22.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 29% | 21% | 57% | 13% | 33% |
| Draws | 57% | 29% | 43% | 29% | 63% | 47% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 14% | 25% | 20% |
Form: Vila Real: WDDLWDLLDDWLDL • Alpendorada: WLDDWDDWWWDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vila Real | Alpendorada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 57% | 53% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 27% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vila Real | Alpendorada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.2% | 50.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Vila Real or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vila Real = 0.29 (league 1.21), Alpendorada = 0.50 (league 1.01)
| Alpendorada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vila Real | 0 | 45.5% | 22.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 52.3% · Away win 31.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1