Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.57) 1.74 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 23.1% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 3.8% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WToluca W
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack79%100%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W Toluca W
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%67%59%75%44%59%
Draws38%0%18%13%44%29%
Loses13%33%24%13%11%12%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLW • Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W Toluca W
HATHAT
GF total161329191635
GF avg2.01.41.72.41.82.1
GA total1071761117
GA avg1.30.81.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WToluca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%53%88%65%
1.547%29%65%18%
2.512%12%29%12%
3.512%6%12%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WToluca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets358426
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WToluca W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WToluca W
Wins55
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-01-3
Biggest losses2-42-10-14-3
Goals For4263
Goals Against4234

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WToluca W
Form48%52%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Unibet
Draw4.06 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Unibet
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 1.52 (league 1.57), Toluca W = 1.74 (league 1.35)

Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 3.8% 6.7% 5.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.9% 10.2% 8.8% 5.1% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.5% 7.7% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1