Mon, Nov 10 2025 • 01:15 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.44 (league 1.58) 1.70 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 13.7% 14.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
5.9%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack80%73%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%67%67%56%56%56%
Draws11%22%17%22%11%17%
Loses22%11%17%22%33%28%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWD • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWD

League goals

Metric América W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total312657201939
GF avg3.42.93.22.22.12.2
GA total101323111425
GA avg1.11.41.31.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%67%78%72%
1.583%44%50%33%
2.556%17%44%17%
3.528%0%28%17%
4.517%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426145
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Wins84
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-55-00-5
Biggest losses0-23-20-24-0
Goals For11555
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : América W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Superbet
Draw4.60 @ 10Bet
Away6.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 3.44 (league 1.58), Monterrey W = 1.70 (league 1.36)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.4% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.0% 6.7% 5.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.4% 5.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
5 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 14.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1