Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:00 • Jose Maria Paz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.31) 0.55 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 28.3% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 15.0% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack45%82%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy 9 de Julio Rafaela
HATHAT
Played161733161430
Wins75%6%39%56%14%37%
Draws13%65%39%31%36%33%
Loses13%29%21%13%50%30%

Form: Gimnasia Chivilcoy: WDWDWWDWDDLDDDLDWWLWDWDWLWLLDWDWL • 9 de Julio Rafaela: DLWLLLLDWWDLWLWWDDWDDLDLWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy 9 de Julio Rafaela
HATHAT
GF total2683428735
GF avg1.60.51.01.80.51.2
GA total131528131629
GA avg0.80.90.80.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%58%67%63%
1.530%21%30%23%
2.56%6%10%7%
3.50%0%7%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
HATHAT
Clean sheets68147411
Failed to score110113710

Penalties

MetricGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
Wins22
Draws32
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-15-00-1
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-0
Goals For3251
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia Chivilcoy9 de Julio Rafaela
Form42%58%
Att36%64%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or 9 de Julio Rafaela and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia Chivilcoy = 1.35 (league 1.31), 9 de Julio Rafaela = 0.55 (league 0.73)

9 de Julio Rafaela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 15.0% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1