Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.31) 0.60 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.7% 17.1% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.6%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Guillermo Brown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack64%64%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Guillermo Brown
HATHAT
Played141630171532
Wins86%19%50%59%27%44%
Draws14%38%27%6%27%16%
Loses0%44%23%35%47%41%

Form: Atletico DE Rafaela: LWLWDWWWWLWDDDDLWDWWWLWLDWWDLW • Guillermo Brown: WLLWWLLDLLLLLWWDWDWLWDDWWWWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Guillermo Brown
HATHAT
GF total241135251641
GF avg1.70.71.21.51.11.3
GA total61824152540
GA avg0.41.10.80.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%57%69%69%
1.543%17%34%31%
2.57%7%16%16%
3.50%0%9%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
HATHAT
Clean sheets85137310
Failed to score19103710

Penalties

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
Wins45
Draws42
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-13-4
Biggest losses—3-11-44-0
Goals For3244
Goals Against1344

Model comparison

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaGuillermo Brown
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total59.7%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away5.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico DE Rafaela = 2.21 (league 1.31), Guillermo Brown = 0.60 (league 0.73)

Guillermo Brown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 8.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1