DFB Pokal — Germany
Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:45 • Volksparkstadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.11) 0.34 (league 2.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 69.1% 27.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
68.0%
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 2
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 68.0% 22.9% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack14%14%
Defense95%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

36%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamburger SV Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
Played022022
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Hamburger SV: WW • Holstein Kiel: WW

League goals

Metric Hamburger SV Holstein Kiel
HATHAT
GF total033033
GF avg0.01.51.50.01.51.5
GA total011000
GA avg0.00.50.50.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%0%
1.550%0%50%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets011022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0202
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricHamburger SVHolstein Kiel
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Holstein Kiel and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ Betano
Away4.65 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Hamburger SV = 0.05 (league 1.11), Holstein Kiel = 0.34 (league 2.23)

Holstein Kiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamburger SV 0 68.0% 22.9% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 69.1% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1