Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:45 • An der alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.12) 1.57 (league 2.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 17.6% 20.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.1% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack35%35%
Defense95%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.57 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Union Berlin: WW • Bayern München: WW

League goals

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total257077
GF avg2.05.03.50.03.53.5
GA total101033
GA avg1.00.00.50.01.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%50%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-51-4
Biggest losses
Goals For2504
Goals Against1002

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Union Berlin or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.25 @ Unibet
Away1.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ SBO
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 2.67 (league 1.12), Bayern München = 1.57 (league 2.23)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 1.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.1% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1