Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:45 • An der alten Försterei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.14) 1.56 (league 2.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 17.9% 21.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack35%35%
Defense95%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.57 | 3.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
Played112022
Wins100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Union Berlin: WW • Bayern München: WW

League goals

Metric Union Berlin Bayern München
HATHAT
GF total257077
GF avg2.05.03.50.03.53.5
GA total101033
GA avg1.00.00.50.01.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BerlinBayern München
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%50%
2.550%0%100%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-51-4
Biggest losses
Goals For2504
Goals Against1002

Model comparison

MetricUnion BerlinBayern München
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Union Berlin or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.25 @ Unibet
Away1.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ SBO
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Berlin = 2.63 (league 1.14), Bayern München = 1.56 (league 2.24)

Bayern München
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Berlin 0 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.0% 6.2% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1