League Cup — Scotland
Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 • Hampden Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.93) 3.71 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 11.3% 61.1%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.1%
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 0.6% 2.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.5% 3.4%
1 0.8% 3.1% 5.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 1.7%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Played53
Form100%100%
Attack100%69%
Defense56%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.811 | 3.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Mirren Celtic
HATHAT
Played347213
Wins100%75%86%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%0%0%0%

Form: ST Mirren: LWWWWWW • Celtic: WWW

League goals

Metric ST Mirren Celtic
HATHAT
GF total129217411
GF avg4.02.33.03.54.03.7
GA total459202
GA avg1.31.31.31.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST MirrenCeltic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%100%100%67%
1.586%29%100%0%
2.543%0%100%0%
3.529%0%67%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST MirrenCeltic
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Wins03
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-21-44-10-4
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For8444
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricST MirrenCeltic
Form63%38%
Att63%37%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total35.2%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Celtic and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ Betfair
Away1.48 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ SBO
Under 2.52.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): ST Mirren = 1.45 (league 1.93), Celtic = 3.71 (league 1.40)

Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Mirren 0 0.6% 2.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.5% 3.4%
1 0.8% 3.1% 5.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.9%
2 0.6% 2.2% 4.2% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 1.7%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 61.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1