Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 00:10 • Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.06) 0.60 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 28.7% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Madryn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 14.6% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack100%80%
Defense80%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Moron Deportivo Madryn
HATHAT
Played191837191736
Wins63%22%43%74%18%47%
Draws26%56%41%16%53%33%
Loses11%22%16%11%29%19%

Form: Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDWDDWD • Deportivo Madryn: LLDWLWDWDDDDLWWDWDWDWDWWWWDWLWWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Moron Deportivo Madryn
HATHAT
GF total261137301747
GF avg1.40.61.01.61.01.3
GA total81119131730
GA avg0.40.60.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%46%81%67%
1.524%5%36%17%
2.58%0%14%0%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
HATHAT
Clean sheets128208412
Failed to score4913167

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
Wins44
Draws34
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-22-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MoronDeportivo Madryn
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals100%0%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.54 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Moron = 1.32 (league 1.06), Deportivo Madryn = 0.60 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Madryn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 14.6% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.3% 11.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1