Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Abel Sastre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.06) 0.63 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 35.6% 24.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Madryn 0 21.5% 13.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack80%60%
Defense0%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
Played191837201838
Wins74%17%46%65%22%45%
Draws16%50%32%25%56%39%
Loses11%33%22%10%22%16%

Form: Deportivo Madryn: LLDWLWDWDDDDLWWDWDWDWDWWWWDWLWWDWLLWL • Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
GF total301747271138
GF avg1.60.91.31.40.61.0
GA total13183181119
GA avg0.71.00.80.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%68%66%45%
1.535%16%24%5%
2.514%0%8%0%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
HATHAT
Clean sheets841213821
Failed to score1784913

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
Wins44
Draws43
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-22-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MadrynDeportivo Moron
Form40%60%
Att57%43%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total38.6%61.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.50 @ 188Bet
No1.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Madryn = 0.91 (league 1.06), Deportivo Moron = 0.63 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Madryn 0 21.5% 13.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.5% 12.3% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1