FA Cup — England
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 17:15 • VBS Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.80) 3.07 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.0% 14.6% 62.0%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 2
7.6%
1 - 4
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sutton Utd 0 1.2% 3.5% 5.4% 5.6% 4.3% 2.6%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.0% 3.7%
2 1.1% 3.4% 5.3% 5.4% 4.1% 2.5%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSutton UtdShrewsbury
Played31
Form78%100%
Attack47%18%
Defense65%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.73 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

97%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sutton Utd Shrewsbury
HATHAT
Played213011
Wins100%0%67%—100%100%
Draws0%100%33%—0%0%
Loses0%0%0%—0%0%
Sutton UtdDWW
ShrewsburyW

League goals

Metric Sutton Utd Shrewsbury
HATHAT
GF total538033
GF avg2.53.02.70.03.03.0
GA total336011
GA avg1.53.02.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSutton UtdShrewsbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%67%100%0%
2.567%33%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSutton UtdShrewsbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSutton UtdShrewsbury
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSutton UtdShrewsbury
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2——1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3303
Goals Against2301

Model comparison

MetricSutton UtdShrewsbury
Form70%30%
Att73%27%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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