Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.10) 1.28 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.5% 27.7% 40.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 9.3% 11.9% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack80%70%
Defense30%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Largo Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins33%50%43%50%50%50%
Draws33%25%29%38%17%29%
Loses33%25%29%13%33%21%

Form: Cerro Largo: WWWDLWWLLLDDDW • Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDDLWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Cerro Largo Liverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total7101713619
GF avg1.21.31.21.61.01.4
GA total86148614
GA avg1.30.81.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%86%64%
1.536%29%43%29%
2.50%7%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Wins32
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses1-32-10-13-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricCerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
Form38%63%
Att53%47%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total39.2%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool Montevideo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away2.45 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerro Largo = 1.09 (league 1.10), Liverpool Montevideo = 1.28 (league 1.02)

Liverpool Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro Largo 0 9.3% 11.9% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.6% 7.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.5% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 40.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1