Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.10) 0.69 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.6% 44.8% 39.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
36.2%
0 - 1
24.9%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
CA River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wanderers 0 36.2% 24.9% 8.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.9% 8.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWanderersCA River Plate
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack42%42%
Defense25%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wanderers CA River Plate
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins0%13%7%0%33%14%
Draws50%13%29%50%17%36%
Loses50%75%64%50%50%50%

Form: Wanderers: LDLLWLLLLLDLDD • CA River Plate: DLLLLLDLDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Wanderers CA River Plate
HATHAT
GF total257448
GF avg0.30.60.50.50.70.6
GA total6152111718
GA avg1.01.91.51.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWanderersCA River Plate
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.536%79%43%79%
1.514%57%14%36%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWanderersCA River Plate
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score549538

Penalties

MetricWanderersCA River Plate
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWanderersCA River Plate
Wins11
Draws11
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-1—1-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-32-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricWanderersCA River Plate
Form27%73%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CA River Plate and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ 10Bet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Betano
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wanderers = 0.33 (league 1.10), CA River Plate = 0.69 (league 1.02)

CA River Plate
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wanderers 0 36.2% 24.9% 8.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.9% 8.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 44.8% · Away win 39.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1