Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:00 • Estadio Luis Troccoli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.10) 0.83 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 33.6% 30.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Boston River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro 0 17.6% 14.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerroBoston River
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack42%67%
Defense75%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerro Boston River
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%43%50%71%14%43%
Draws14%14%14%29%71%50%
Loses29%43%36%0%14%7%

Form: Cerro: DLWWLLLWWLWWWD • Boston River: WDWDWWDWLDDDWD

League goals

Metric Cerro Boston River
HATHAT
GF total7613161026
GF avg1.00.90.92.31.41.9
GA total49133710
GA avg0.61.30.90.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerroBoston River
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%50%71%50%
1.529%21%57%21%
2.50%7%21%0%
3.50%7%21%0%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerroBoston River
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score235224

Penalties

MetricCerroBoston River
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCerroBoston River
Wins32
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-26-10-4
Biggest losses1-25-1—2-1
Goals For2264
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricCerroBoston River
Form59%41%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h15%85%
Goals14%86%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Boston River and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Superbet
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerro = 0.91 (league 1.10), Boston River = 0.83 (league 1.02)

Boston River
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerro 0 17.6% 14.5% 6.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.0% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 33.6% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1