Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:30 • Parque Artigas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.10) 0.76 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 36.4% 31.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.8%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 21.8% 16.5% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudProgreso
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack20%60%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventud Progreso
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%29%29%57%14%36%
Draws14%29%21%0%29%14%
Loses57%43%50%43%57%50%

Form: Juventud: LLWWWLLLDDLDLW • Progreso: LLLWLWDWDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Juventud Progreso
HATHAT
GF total43711516
GF avg0.60.40.51.60.71.1
GA total8412121022
GA avg1.10.60.91.71.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudProgreso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%79%57%
1.57%29%29%57%
2.50%0%7%29%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudProgreso
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score448123

Penalties

MetricJuventudProgreso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricJuventudProgreso
Wins32
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-10-53-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricJuventudProgreso
Form45%55%
Att25%75%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Juventud or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Unibet
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away5.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventud = 0.77 (league 1.10), Progreso = 0.76 (league 1.02)

Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventud 0 21.8% 16.5% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 12.6% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1