Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.94 (league 1.10) 1.77 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 16.6% 20.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.9%
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
2 3.9% 6.9% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico TorquePenarol
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack100%90%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Torque Penarol
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%71%57%100%33%71%
Draws43%0%21%0%33%14%
Loses14%29%21%0%33%14%

Form: Atletico Torque: LDWWWDWWLWDLWW • Penarol: WWLWWWDWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Torque Penarol
HATHAT
GF total131528161228
GF avg1.92.12.02.02.02.0
GA total691521012
GA avg0.91.31.10.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico TorquePenarol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%93%57%
1.550%36%71%29%
2.529%7%29%0%
3.521%7%7%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico TorquePenarol
HATHAT
Clean sheets347606
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricAtletico TorquePenarol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico TorquePenarol
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-01-4
Biggest losses1-25-2—2-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricAtletico TorquePenarol
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Torque or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Unibet
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Torque = 2.94 (league 1.10), Penarol = 1.77 (league 1.02)

Penarol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
2 3.9% 6.9% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.7% 6.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
5 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1