Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 02:00 • Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.17) 1.28 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 19.4% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric New Mexico United Orange County SC
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins50%47%48%53%19%35%
Draws25%13%19%33%25%29%
Loses25%40%32%13%56%35%

Form: New Mexico United: LWWWWWLLWWDLWLLLLDDLWWLDWWWDDWW • Orange County SC: WDLLWLWLLWLWDLWWDWLDLDLDLDDWDWW

League goals

Metric New Mexico United Orange County SC
HATHAT
GF total281947301545
GF avg1.81.31.52.00.91.5
GA total202141212445
GA avg1.31.41.31.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%65%71%74%
1.542%42%39%42%
2.523%16%23%23%
3.56%6%13%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611448
Failed to score246459

Penalties

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Wins52
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-34-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Form50%50%
Att61%39%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : New Mexico United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.74 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): New Mexico United = 2.31 (league 1.17), Orange County SC = 1.28 (league 0.91)

Orange County SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
New Mexico United 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1