Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 13:05 • Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.43) 2.35 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.4% 19.5% 52.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
7.4%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Al Nasr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Khorfakkan 0 2.0% 4.8% 5.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKhorfakkanAl Nasr
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack33%73%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Khorfakkan Al Nasr
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%33%50%42%
Draws33%0%17%33%17%25%
Loses50%67%58%33%33%33%

Form: Khorfakkan: WLDLLWDLWLLL • Al Nasr: WWDLDLLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Khorfakkan Al Nasr
HATHAT
GF total106168917
GF avg1.71.01.31.31.51.4
GA total138218816
GA avg2.21.31.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKhorfakkanAl Nasr
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%92%83%67%
1.550%50%50%42%
2.517%25%8%17%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKhorfakkanAl Nasr
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricKhorfakkanAl Nasr
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricKhorfakkanAl Nasr
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-32-02-3
Biggest losses2-43-02-43-2
Goals For3323
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricKhorfakkanAl Nasr
Form23%77%
Att31%69%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Al Nasr

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.63 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Khorfakkan = 1.55 (league 1.43), Al Nasr = 2.35 (league 1.40)

Al Nasr
0 1 2 3 4 5
Khorfakkan 0 2.0% 4.8% 5.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.1% 7.4% 8.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.4% 5.7% 6.7% 5.3% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 52.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1