Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • Ali La Pointe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.19) 3.81 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 9.9% 63.7%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
6.9%
0 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
MC Alger 0 0.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 4.2%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.9% 5.3%
2 0.5% 1.9% 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 3.3%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
Played53
Form40%100%
Attack42%83%
Defense75%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MC Alger Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Played235213
Wins50%0%20%100%100%100%
Draws50%67%60%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: MC Alger: DWDDL • Mamelodi Sundowns: WWW

League goals

Metric MC Alger Mamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
GF total3255510
GF avg1.50.71.02.55.03.3
GA total033112
GA avg0.01.00.60.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%100%67%
1.520%20%100%0%
2.520%0%67%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
Wins13
Draws20
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-11-5
Biggest losses—2-1——
Goals For3135
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricMC AlgerMamelodi Sundowns
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Winner : Mamelodi Sundowns

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Betfair
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MC Alger = 1.26 (league 1.19), Mamelodi Sundowns = 3.81 (league 0.79)

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 1 2 3 4 5
MC Alger 0 0.6% 2.4% 4.5% 5.8% 5.5% 4.2%
1 0.8% 3.0% 5.7% 7.3% 6.9% 5.3%
2 0.5% 1.9% 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 3.3%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 63.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1