Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:00 • Stade du 26 Mars
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.19) 0.51 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 42.1% 23.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.7%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Simba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Malien Bamako 0 30.7% 15.6% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 10.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Malien BamakoSimba
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack100%63%
Defense88%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Malien Bamako Simba
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%0%100%40%
Draws0%67%40%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Stade Malien Bamako: WWDWD • Simba: WDWDL

League goals

Metric Stade Malien Bamako Simba
HATHAT
GF total4610145
GF avg2.02.02.00.32.01.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.00.30.20.70.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Malien BamakoSimba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%60%40%
1.560%0%20%0%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Malien BamakoSimba
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricStade Malien BamakoSimba
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStade Malien BamakoSimba
Wins21
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-5—0-3
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For2513
Goals Against0110

Model comparison

MetricStade Malien BamakoSimba
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Stade Malien Bamako or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Malien Bamako = 0.67 (league 1.19), Simba = 0.51 (league 0.79)

Simba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Malien Bamako 0 30.7% 15.6% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 10.5% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.0% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1