Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.25) 0.66 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 21.7% 12.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
MC Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 8.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 10.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack78%56%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns MC Alger
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins67%25%43%60%0%33%
Draws33%50%43%40%50%44%
Loses0%25%14%0%50%22%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: WWWDDLD • MC Alger: DWDDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns MC Alger
HATHAT
GF total7714729
GF avg2.31.82.01.40.51.0
GA total347145
GA avg1.01.01.00.21.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%56%44%
1.557%29%33%11%
2.529%0%11%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
Wins31
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-53-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—2-1
Goals For3531
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsMC Alger
Form46%54%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.70 @ 188Bet
Away6.80 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.82 @ 188Bet
No1.46 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 1.84 (league 1.25), MC Alger = 0.66 (league 0.76)

MC Alger
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 8.3% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 10.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 12.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1