Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 16:00 •
KMC Stadium
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.22)
2.08 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | 15.0% | 80.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
22.2%
0 - 1
21.4%
0 - 3
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Stade Malien Bamako | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Simba | 0 | 10.3% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 44% | 56% |
| Defense | 22% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 40% | 22% | 100% | 25% | 67% |
| Draws | 75% | 20% | 44% | 0% | 75% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
SimbaWDWDLLLDD
Stade Malien BamakoWWDWDWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 78% | 22% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 56% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Simba | Stade Malien Bamako |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 8% | 92% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 22.6% | 77.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away5.11 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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