Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.51) 1.18 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 25.6% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maniema Union
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 6.9% 8.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedManiema Union
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack43%64%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United Maniema Union
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%50%60%
Draws50%33%40%33%50%40%
Loses0%67%40%0%0%0%

Form: Nairobi United: DDWLL • Maniema Union: WDDWW

League goals

Metric Nairobi United Maniema Union
HATHAT
GF total336549
GF avg1.51.01.21.72.01.8
GA total178235
GA avg0.52.31.60.71.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedManiema Union
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.540%60%80%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedManiema Union
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedManiema Union
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedManiema Union
Wins11
Draws22
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For2222
Goals Against1312

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedManiema Union
Form31%69%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maniema Union

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.49 (league 1.51), Maniema Union = 1.18 (league 0.85)

Maniema Union
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 6.9% 8.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.3% 12.2% 7.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1