Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:00 • Stade du 5 Juillet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.48) 1.09 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 26.1% 28.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Olympique Safi
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 7.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack69%54%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric USM Alger Olympique Safi
HATHAT
Played347549
Wins100%50%71%80%75%78%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%14%20%25%22%

Form: USM Alger: LWWWWDW • Olympique Safi: WWWLWLWWW

League goals

Metric USM Alger Olympique Safi
HATHAT
GF total841211516
GF avg2.71.01.72.21.31.8
GA total235336
GA avg0.70.80.70.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%43%89%56%
1.557%29%56%11%
2.543%0%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
Wins43
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-01-2
Biggest losses—1-00-12-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricUSM AlgerOlympique Safi
Form52%48%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : USM Alger or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away6.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): USM Alger = 1.46 (league 1.48), Olympique Safi = 1.09 (league 0.84)

Olympique Safi
0 1 2 3 4 5
USM Alger 0 7.8% 8.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.1% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 28.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1