First League — Russia
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 14:00 • Trud Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.22) 0.69 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 26.3% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 11.4% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack41%35%
Defense59%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%20%26%30%11%21%
Draws11%20%16%30%33%32%
Loses56%60%58%40%56%47%

Form: Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLWL • Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDDWLDW

League goals

Metric Volga Ulyanovsk Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
GF total12102212416
GF avg1.31.01.21.20.40.8
GA total161834141327
GA avg1.81.81.81.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%89%53%68%
1.526%58%26%42%
2.511%16%5%26%
3.50%16%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score044369

Penalties

MetricVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-44-01-43-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricVolga UlyanovskTorpedo Moskva
Form43%57%
Att54%46%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals60%40%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Volga Ulyanovsk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.49 (league 1.22), Torpedo Moskva = 0.69 (league 1.05)

Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Volga Ulyanovsk 0 11.4% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 11.6% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1