First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 10:30 • Yekaterinburg Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.22) 1.20 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 23.4% 25.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.9% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralSpartak Kostroma
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack39%39%
Defense89%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins67%60%63%33%60%47%
Draws22%10%16%44%20%32%
Loses11%30%21%22%20%21%

Form: Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLWWWWWL • Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDLDWLL

League goals

Metric Ural Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
GF total161329111829
GF avg1.81.31.51.21.81.5
GA total61117101222
GA avg0.71.10.91.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralSpartak Kostroma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%53%79%89%
1.547%21%53%21%
2.516%5%16%5%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralSpartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Clean sheets549022
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricUralSpartak Kostroma
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricUralSpartak Kostroma
Wins54
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-12-4
Biggest losses1-25-10-23-2
Goals For4334
Goals Against2523

Model comparison

MetricUralSpartak Kostroma
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ural or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away5.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 1.77 (league 1.22), Spartak Kostroma = 1.20 (league 1.05)

Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 5.1% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.1% 10.9% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.6% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1