First League — Russia
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.22) 1.34 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 21.9% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 3.7% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaChernomorets
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack44%22%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins22%40%32%44%10%26%
Draws56%30%42%22%30%26%
Loses22%30%26%33%60%47%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWW • Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLDDLLW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total141428121022
GF avg1.61.41.51.31.01.2
GA total131124101525
GA avg1.41.11.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%63%89%
1.547%37%26%32%
2.511%0%16%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score022347

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaChernomorets
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaChernomorets
Wins12
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaChernomorets
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.13 @ 1xBet
Away4.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.96 (league 1.22), Chernomorets = 1.34 (league 1.05)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 3.7% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.2% 9.7% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.6% 6.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 25.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1