First League — Russia
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Shinnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.22) 0.23 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.9% 26.8% 6.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.6%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
19.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Sokol Saratov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 20.0% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack50%14%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl FK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins50%11%32%20%0%11%
Draws20%56%37%60%33%47%
Loses30%33%32%20%67%42%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLDDWLW • FK Sokol Saratov: DDLDDLLLLDWLDDDWLDL

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl FK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
GF total134177310
GF avg1.30.40.90.70.30.5
GA total891781220
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%58%47%68%
1.526%21%5%32%
2.55%11%0%5%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
HATHAT
Clean sheets448426
Failed to score3694610

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
Wins11
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-21-0—
Biggest losses0-23-00-23-1
Goals For4221
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlFK Sokol Saratov
Form62%38%
Att78%22%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.12 @ Pinnacle
Away4.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 1.38 (league 1.22), FK Sokol Saratov = 0.23 (league 1.05)

FK Sokol Saratov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 20.0% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.6% 6.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.1% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 6.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1